September 3, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Draw the Foul | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wearenotbadpeople | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disko Tribute | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Intro | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Feminine | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Wilbur | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Man Bags | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Takeittothebank | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mamba Cool | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Nas | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Worse Read Sanchez | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mobou | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kings River Knight | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shot of a Lifetime | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Rush Candy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bud Knight | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exceed Speed Limit | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Buck | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Single Me Out | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Asaro | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | U. S. Danger | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cast Member | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Chedda Cash | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cholly | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Little Luck | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rosie Ann Rules | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Along Came Joann | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cast Member | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Together | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Celebration | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sue Generous | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artemis Star | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 98 | Fun Money | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Shared Belief S.) – Shared Belief S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | High Connection | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Newgrange | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Armagnac | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Il Bellator | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Joe Won | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Naismith | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dancing Rinca | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quintecents | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chicago Soldier (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Man Among Men | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | New York Dreams (GB) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La’och Aloysius | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Facetious | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What Say Thee | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Ride | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Key Player | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 98 | Jonas’ Dream | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Lord Sheldon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Massimo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Practical Move | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hawker | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | National Treasure | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucino | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Soulfire | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don Corleone | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mixto | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zio Jo | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Taxes | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gandolfini | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Del Mar Mile S.) – Del Mar Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hong Kong Harry (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goliad | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Astronaut | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | None Above the Law | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irideo (ARG) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Force Red | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tarantino | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Figureti (CHI) | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tripoli | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Todo Fino (CHI) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Exaulted | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redline | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conundrum | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Disc Jockey | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunrise Journey | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Impossible | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finneus | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joker Boy | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Curioso (ARG) | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Caesars Sportsbook Del Mar Derby) – Caesars Sportsbook Del Mar Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Balnikhov (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cabo Spirit | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mackinnon | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slow Down Andy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War At Sea | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spycatcher | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dandy Warhol (IRE) | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barsabas | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | St Anthony | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Tvg Pacific Classic S.) – Tvg Pacific Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country Grammer | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Country Grammer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flightline | 0.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Express Train | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Ship (BRZ) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stilleto Boy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Extra Hope | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association) – Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Masteroffoxhounds | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gregdar | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Master Piece (CHI) | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizamagician | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Heywoods Beach | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red King | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Order and Law | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tango Tango Tango | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tesoro | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.