September 2, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | M Is for Magic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Fix | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Rose | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Darling Donna | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Spice | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Shamrock | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Funkhouser | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Otter Pop | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Rim Rocks | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smiling Princess | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Investment | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Controlled Fire | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bebbanburg | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Modera | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream State | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nomi Lackee | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caanfoolery | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Daddy Classy Dill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Carmelita’s Man | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Catcher | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Win the Day | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bender | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly the Sky | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oncoming | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ginsburned | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hero Status | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palagio | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piroli | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Encode | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Western Cape | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magnificent | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Refugee | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Naughty Niko | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Giants Candy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Youteyourhonor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | O’Neill’s Legacy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Pass | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keepmeinthe Moment | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loma Vista | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Talked | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Lynn | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shared Future | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | See Through It | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Biarritz | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fenestra | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blameless | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chaos Theory | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grit and Curiosity | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Wedge | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamming Eddy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Golden Image | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Brix | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Encroachment | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thorne House | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curry | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pyeong Chang | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Little H Man | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nice Guy Clay | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northvale Road | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Loud Mouth | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Finish | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Smileforme | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Squalotoro | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling At Val | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brace for Impact | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Leggs Galore | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Connie Swingle | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sensible Cat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angelcents | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Address (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stella Noir | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outside the Law | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Bertie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Acoustic Shadow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Squillions | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Very Scary | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Slam Diego | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Worthiness | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Princess Caterina | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Parco | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I Give Up | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Trojan Way | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Adele Darling | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.