August 27, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Didinger | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King’s Glory | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Track Mate | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Verifying | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Standard of Proof | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Warden | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Narciso Dali | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Funtastic Again | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | America’s Guest | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Triple Start | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Read On | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scat Tu Tap | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | The Count | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Decanted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 8 | Fire Baron | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Take Me to Jimmy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Highland Lord | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Colormepazzi | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On the Hill | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Workout | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colloquy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy the Torch | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Journey | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Kringle | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G Munning | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majority Partner | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Ballston Spa S.) – Ballston Spa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Technical Analysis (IRE) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fluffy Socks | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Flash Drive | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Opinion | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemista (IRE) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Forego S.) – Forego S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jackie’s Warrior | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kneedeepinsnow | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Yoda | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cody’s Wish | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pipeline | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drafted | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Two Zone | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Life Changer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swift Tap | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Love | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baltasar | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luni Sima | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Speed | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Misbehaved | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Must Be Love | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leddy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Smokey White | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Discreet Tune | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Noble Emotion | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cazadero | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Old Chestnut | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ranger Fox | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Battle Station | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charmed (GB) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Comedy Town | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Foolish Ghost | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Amundson | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Maxwell Esquire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Higher Standard | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.) – H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jack Christopher | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conagher | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gunite | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Actuator | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Accretive | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Jack | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runninsonofagun | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Totalizer | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Howling Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Personal Ensign S.) – Personal Ensign S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Malathaat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Search Results | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letruska | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clairiere | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Beautiful | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.) – Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tribhuvan (FR) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gufo | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Channel Maker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mira Mission | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockemperor (IRE) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adhamo (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cross Border | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cold Hard Cash | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broome (IRE) | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Runhappy Travers S.) – Runhappy Travers S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zandon | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Epicenter | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Early Voting | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cyberknife | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artorius | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ain’t Life Grand | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rich Strike | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gilded Age | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heymackit’sjack | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feathers Road | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ripe for Mischief | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir John | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fuoco | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Steerage | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Sky | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kreesa | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Engineer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Invincible Gal (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Little Faith | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Tapirado | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Groove | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Join the Dots | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Rockette | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parnac (FR) | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Salimah (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rhombique | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wasp | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jane Grey | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Minute Waltz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.