August 24, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Michael G. Walsh Novice S.) – Michael G. Walsh Novice S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scorpion’s Revenge (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freddy Flintshire | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decisive Triumph | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theocrat (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lydford (GB) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Vision (FR) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Tapatino (FR) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gambling Girl | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maddie’s Grace | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Splendid One | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Blush | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | August Bloom | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Good Trouble | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Built to Last | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tommy Gun | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Full Complement | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kingstown | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Truck | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brennan’s War | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Slick Nick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Druid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Disengage | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fair to Middlin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gimmebackmybullets | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Southern Civility | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Sensation | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zen Master | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cathedral Beach | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cole Spur | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Never Early | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Brawndo | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 6 | The Met | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Silipo | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Forty Two Ace | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Roderick | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Good Culture | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Al’s Prince | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Air Show | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corkman | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Kinetic Sky | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Under Oath | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Overbore | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Risk Profile | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Basso | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | His Time | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Harry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | King Angelo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Thin White Duke | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gianni Lambo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Winter Son | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Vocalize | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Carpe’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Moment (PER) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Prince’s Spur | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drakon | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mad Magic | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gut Feeling | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Cargo | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proven Hope | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Islandman | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freeze Pop | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Smitty Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mount Travers | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lastchanceatglory | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crypto Cash | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boldish | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Commissioner | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical America | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (John’s Call S.) – John’s Call S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tide of the Sea | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sa’ad (FR) | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Parkway | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oceans Map | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girl Dad | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hieroglyphics | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Maybe Later | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mia At Midnight | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Solib | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mandy Green | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Chaysenbryn | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady of Thoroton | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kerik | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Tempermental | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Mariah’s Fortune | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreamful | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Miss Delicious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stella Mars | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Control Function | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Quaria Thunder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pegs A. K. Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.