August 20, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Street Ruckus | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Echosmith (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breakfast Ride | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocks and Salt | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Resultant | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhetoric | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lammas (GB) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queenzy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always At Ease | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three Strands | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tea N Conversation | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Still in It | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Paloma Blanca | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Connection | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cahuilla | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Accelerina | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Talkative Gal | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Everlys Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keepmeinthe Moment | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coruscation | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit Doux | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Never Sway | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loveherheart | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amanda Rose | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Counterparty Risk (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fearless Girl (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Marie | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charges Dropped | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ever Smart | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nullarbor | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hejazi | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classical Cat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Omnipresent | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loco Luna | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastbound | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deliberate Risk | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm the Night | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweet and Cheeky | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Founder’s Day | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gillian Elizabeth | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Dana | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ida Claire | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Thousand Dreams | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taranta (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Path | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Eddie’s Last | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kangaroo Court | 1.20 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reign of Speed | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stay in the Game | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tom Horn | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Regulation Dazed | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Duty First | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mentirosa | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vince’s Corner | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thirsty Pappy | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Santiago’s Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Buck Owens | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Del Mar Oaks) – Del Mar Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Spendarella | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cairo Memories | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tezzaray (GB) | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Island of Love (IRE) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ballet Dancing | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gracelund Gray | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lady T | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sixteen Arches (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Txope (FR) | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Dragon Queen | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bellabel (IRE) | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Clementine (GB) | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhea Moon (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gray Magician | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Troutman | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Demon | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Touch | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hapi Hapi | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Heater | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outright | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Of Good Report | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mariners Way | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Active Account | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leisurewear (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wishing On a Star | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vivando | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hardly Mischievous | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Infinite Empire | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Albayaader (IRE) | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Takemebythehand (GB) | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Belle Cherie | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Point | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maeve of Connaught (IRE) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wistfully | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quick Romance | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jubilee Lake (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.