August 19, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Psychic Income | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Light | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Code | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | North Pole | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ministerial | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheeky Tico | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beachfront Bid | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bonnie T | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Birthday Time | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gather the Facts | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Firefoot | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free Chickens | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Status | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devilly | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Bourbon Calling | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Reds | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Gigging | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alejandro | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shooger Ray Too | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Galerio | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Indemnify (FR) | 0.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Lullaby | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outperform | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Transactional (GB) | 0.20 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Triumphant Road | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bali Riddim | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Logan’s Runner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nicholas James | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eminency | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top of the Mint | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joey Loose Lips | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Got the Gold | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inspiration Point | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hang Tight | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Silent Cat | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Provision | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secretary of War | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Quemado | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Barry the Builder | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thethrillofvictory | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Go Big Blue | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Master Sergeant | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liotta | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ulumalu | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Widmark | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chulligan | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Starlet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crowding Out | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tuscan Queen | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Osiria | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nay Say (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caironi | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neon Summer | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Heroine | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Speaks | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ruvies in Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | A Little Faith | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Awesome Indra | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Baba | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chloe Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Summer Colony S.) – Summer Colony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bonny South | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Envoutante | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Wife | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leader of the Band | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First to Act | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misty Veil | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exotic West | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Diva Ready | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hatari | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fish Mooney | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Radiant Gem | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Judge Judith | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mirth ‘n Merriment | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vintage Girl | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosemary Potatoes | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mariah’s Fortune | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Skidmore S.) – Skidmore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oxymore | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Appraise (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fadethenoise | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cadillac Candy | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Creed | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Huntsman | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jeremy’s Jet | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prove Right | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Therapy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.