August 19, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brandon’smylawyer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That’s Amare | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | After Midnight | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Xmas Surprise | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pammy’s Ready | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Havana Love (IRE) | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Danzigs Star Storm | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Saul Right | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grazed My Heart | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Reign Song | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paisley’s Vision | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Vegas | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruff Ride | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quickly Park It | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wink Wish and Park | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caanfoolery | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Kaline | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Golden Again | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fort Moultrie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commander Khai | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hometown Hero | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmo | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Explosive | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dominant Soul | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allaboutthemoney | 8.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | In the Midst | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maxim Moment | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Durante | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Butkus | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Today Matters | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fireman Dan | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Doc | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pepperman | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magic Game | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roubaix | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Avery Blue | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Warren’s Showgirl | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Finnley’s Kitten | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz My Princess | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Monique | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Bit Sassy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Patriot | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grazie Daisy | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Candy On Top | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jessebear | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Infinite Love | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | A Little Bit Crazy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Square Deal | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Right | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Storm | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Horn of Plenty | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alleva | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smileforme | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jacks Outlaw | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ctt And Toc S.) – Ctt And Toc S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Neige Blanche (FR) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bellamore | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Otoole | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Lass | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarabea | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Almost a Factor | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macadamia (BRZ) | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Fearless Girl (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Erebus | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Kingdom | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Rob | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chris Fix | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grazen in the Park | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Armaveer | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rye Runner | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sasquatch Ride | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wesley’s Boy | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flying Fred | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dual Threat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Sippin N Kissin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | Kai’s Statement | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.