August 18, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mount Olympic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Careless Kitten | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Besame Mucho | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hiding the Brick | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peso | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cross Examine | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin to Excel | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shardial | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rancho Red | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sierra Pass | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gabe’s Monster | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Offshore Affair | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colonelsdarktemper | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holden the Lute | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Dragon | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loud Mouth | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leprino | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Falsely Accused | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Liberty Forever | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orth | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Acclimate | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Offlee Icy | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grazed | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rafikki | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Touch of Zen | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Four Years | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Heat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brittle and Yoo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | V Bucks | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Panty Night | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pawnee | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tropicana Girl | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Livin’ At the Bu | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Protonico | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Arch | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar Kisses | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Abinadi | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mor Tequila | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | South Coast Route | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sam Malone | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nak Nak Bolt | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buffett | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Littlebrotherjoey | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hadlees Honor | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bolt From Heaven | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Kenney | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Time to Party | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gregory’s Pride | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Podres | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mac Daddy Too | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Stand Taller | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Party Game (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turn On The Jets (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Waters | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star Racer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sumo | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Box of Chocolates | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River Tiber | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catbernay | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Winhappy | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Being Blessed | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Scott Daddy | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Party Town | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Entry | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Squalotoro | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Oubabe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agador Spartacus | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Humor | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fore Flag | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Attenzione | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peace Tour | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artistic Serve | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Naughty Niko | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Threecardmonte | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tex Hanley | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.