August 14, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | M. C. Double R | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kbcya Later | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Attitude | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legal Catch | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Three Zero | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Chalk | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gods Glory | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Let Me Down | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Excalibrate | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Closethegame Sugar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Towhead | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Dixie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Root Cause | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conseillante | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moma | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautifulnavigator (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Astrila | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coexist | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shesjustanicegirl | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spunk | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Welcometomyworld | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Fire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Q | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cadeau de Paix | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shadolamo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guns Blazing | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Sophia | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Missing Link | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cost Basis | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Power | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Sword | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ebben | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swiftsure | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent Chrome | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scotto | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Green | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sixth Street (FR) | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glitter Up | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Libretto (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yamas | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Stormy | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Parents Pride | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Linear Thinking (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s All Class | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alessia | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chocolate Gelato | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Briana | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twin Mischief | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Firing Bullets | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Interpolate | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Upper Case | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ziaerati | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Royal Poppy | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Always Laughing | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Slews Cash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Implicated | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Socially Selective | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spungie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Lips Are Sealed | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Home for Christmas | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Instinctive | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Out of Sight | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Choose Happiness | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Gossip | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Thornhill | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pay Grade | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ok Honey | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Caragate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Betsy Blue | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brattle House | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Willemina | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halo City | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Money | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Solare | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Dreaming | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mahony S.) – Mahony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Invasion | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cadamosto (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sky and Sand | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That’s Right | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surprise Boss | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Editorial Comment (ARG) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Kingdom | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Spirit | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brazillionaire | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seaver | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | F F Rocket | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Strategy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Love | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Relate | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hatch | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Hunter | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bold Victory | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cryo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Higher Quality | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Great Workout | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ria’s Angel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.