Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 13, 2022

August 13, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reckoning Force 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Calycanthus 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 I’m Very Busy 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Full Coverage 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Torigo 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Baie Longue 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Fire Baron 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Lord of the Navy 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Funtastic Again 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mount Athos 1.60 1 2-1
7 8 Cold as Hell 6.00 2.4 5-1
1A 5 Charger 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Motion to Strike 8.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Gaslight 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 10 Resist the Devil 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 7 Pico d’Oro 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Fast N Fearious 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 6 Jake Rocks 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Leddy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rigby 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Blazing Star (GB) 4.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Take the Backroads 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 No Payne 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Train to Artemus 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Ulikeapples 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Constitutionalrage 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Idaka 30.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Cadencia 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Mommasgottarun 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Saratoga Special S.) – Saratoga Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gulfport 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Damon’s Mound 1.40 2 4-1
3 3 Valenzan Day 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Super Chow 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Owen’s Leap 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Early Edition 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Know It All Audrey 4.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Captainsdaughter 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Tosconova Beauty 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Sweet Mystery 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Vallelujah 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Sweet Maeve 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Sunset Louise 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Neuro 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Two Down 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Me ‘n Sap 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Golden Hornet 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Giramonte 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Courageoous Oh La 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Tommy the Torch 20.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Street Culture 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Sheriff Bianco 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Majority Partner 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bourbon Bash 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Skellig 4.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 General Jim 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 What a Blast 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Mr McGregor 8.00 7 13-1
11 11 Ohana Honor 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Read On 8.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Surprise Payoff 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Marty’s Magic 15.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Scootscoot 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Black Rain 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Portfolio Company 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Al’s Rocket 8.00 4 7-1
8 8 Ohtwoohthreefive 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Daunt 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Martini’nmoonshine 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Carpe’s Dream 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Constitutionlawyer 6.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Midnight Worker 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Overbore 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Piqua 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Capone 20.00 11.5 22-1
16 16 Icarus 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mackillop 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Unbridled Bomber 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Seal Beach 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Emboite (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Happy Bob 4.50 1 2-1
10 11 Southern Flag 8.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Citizen Mack 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 For Good 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Unlimitedpotential 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Leading Contender 8.00 4.9 9-1
1A 9 Expressman 3.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Final Approach 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Away From Home 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Gimme Love 30.00 10.2 19-1
9 10 Lupo’s Legacy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Fourstardave H.) – Fourstardave H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Casa Creed 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Regal Glory 1.20 1.7 3-1
4 4 Masen (GB) 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Front Run the Fed 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Get Smokin 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Greg’s Honor 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Good Soldier 2.50 1.6 3-1
10 10 Empire Ridge 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 Calloway Peak 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Left On Boylston 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Strike Price 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Smart Joker 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Theregoesmymiracle 30.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Union of Thoughts 30.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Growth Mindset 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.