August 13, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Baladi | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Conundrum | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Wall Street Trader | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Tahoe Secrets | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Multi Platinum | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Pass Interference | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Fun Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Big Hopes | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | Just a Little Luck | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Smokin Cheena | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
4 | 4 | Organic | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
6 | 6 | Pretty Thirsty | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
5 | 5 | Smoove as Silk | 10.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
9 | 9 | Artemis Star | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
7 | 7 | Thank You Kera | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
8 | 8 | Rosie Ann Rules | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Good Vibes Only | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | Redline | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | City Rage | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Crash Corrigan | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Subsidize | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Cees Get Degrees | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Rhetoric | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Neptune’s Storm | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
8 | 8 | Coast of Roan | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Shadow Sphinx | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | First Premio | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Solo Animo | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Cono | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Seattle Bold | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Niles Channel | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | It’s My House | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Sonic Brees | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
7 | 7 | Superman Shaq | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tom Bombadil | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Gator Shining | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
13 | 12 | Quick Intro | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Heaven’s Music | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Draw the Foul | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mr Freebie | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
11 | 11 | Damiano | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | Wink and a Dream | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hey Jasper | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Not Gonna Last | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
12 | 98 | Mariners Way | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 13 | Takeittothebank | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Yellow Ribbon H.) – Yellow Ribbon H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Going Global (IRE) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | Flippant | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Rocking Redhead | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Avenue de France (FR) | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Park Avenue | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Javanica | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Burgoo Alley (IRE) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Abeliefinthislivin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cave Rock | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
7 | 7 | Ultimate Gamble | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Tall Boy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Alexander Helios | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Ship and Scam | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Practical Move | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | El Perfecto | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Stop and a Tres | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
9 | 98 | Truehood | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Anmer Hall | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
9 | 9 | Handy Dandy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Show Time | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Optimising (IRE) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Degree of Risk | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Balladeer | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
8 | 8 | Dandy Warhol (IRE) | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
5 | 5 | Nero Tulip (GB) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
7 | 7 | Sydney Street (GB) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sorrento S.) – Sorrento S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Vegas Magic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
6 | 6 | Absolutely Zero | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Procrastination | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Dazzlingdominika | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Satin Doll | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Classymademoiselle | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
7 | 98 | Infinite Diamond | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Percolate (IRE) | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Irish Prophet | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Explain This Audit | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
11 | 11 | Devil Moon | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Spycatcher | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Pray for Me Ray | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | New York Dreams (GB) | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
2 | 2 | Tokamak | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
10 | 10 | Rio King | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
9 | 9 | Seven Wonders | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
3 | 3 | National Generaux (IRE) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.