August 12, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kingsley Creek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nice ‘n Spicy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Im Just Kiddin | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Empress | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highway Harmony | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Unions | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Never Personal | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | August Bloom | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | My Sweet Banker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Gorgeous | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Frankie C | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Run Up the Score | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honeycomb | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dolce Sera | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Ally Vee | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regina | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pout | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (John Morrissey H.) – John Morrissey H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ny Traffic | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Selby | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wudda U Think Now | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Tate | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reggae Music Man | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Listentoyourheart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queen of Lies | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Type | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oak Loves a Fight | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapple Cider | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latest Edition | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lollygag | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jannie Mae | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | False Hope | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mucho Mama Mia | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kay Tee Gal | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mondeuse | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cupere | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Southern Passage | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Am the Law | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Khafre | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Revolution | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eagle in Love | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commander Compton | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zuzudini | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eloquist | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Union Avenue H.) – Union Avenue H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bank On Anna | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Love | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snicket | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eloquent Speaker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Cara | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grudge | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mashnee Girl | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bravo Kitten | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Al Qahira | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spicer | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gal in a Rush | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Hands | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Kiss | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Linda’s Gift | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bahamian Club (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swift Action | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mariah’s Fortune | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Frippet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Evan Shipman H.) – Evan Shipman H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bankit | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiergan | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Market Alert | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Strong | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Foam | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Three Jokers | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Therisastormbrewin | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coolcatsnkittens | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unkoalafied | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Galley Head | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lola Lola | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eli Dancer | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sarah’s Splendor | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Journey | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maddie’s Surprise | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ace Up Her Sleeve | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Gracefully Wild | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Road to Remember | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chiara | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lacey Underall | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rent Control | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | She’s a Mia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Lynne | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dufresne | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Waterville | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin to Fly | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whatlovelookslike | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fist Full of Dice | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theodora Grace | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Masterof the Tunes | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tempermental | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Monet | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sinfully Sweet | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Caramocha | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gallina | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Know It All Audrey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sunset Louise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.