August 12, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Picture | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Birdman Richie | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Indy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Colonel Jackson | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapaterm | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Savage Sailor | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Authentic Heart | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forty Flash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Street Facts | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sovereign of Speed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Birdnote | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Feline | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Claudette Heir | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laveau | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vigil Anna | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marilyn | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Bottom Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Candy Mom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vai Via | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skip to My Lute | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atthecrossroads | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Ucrania | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Cajun Lady | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Astonishing Anabel | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Rose | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forest Survivor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Novgorod the Great | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle B | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grainger County | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indy Lyon | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jump Back Jack | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Romantic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Salute the Troops | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seax | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gran Slash | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Name Dude | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Khozan One | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Eagle Soars | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | National Unity | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Ash | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Motion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cosmic Speculation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tico G | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Assertiko | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Empire | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khozy My Boy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Future | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wind Ninety Nine | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brother Brad | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Glaze | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Poseidon’s Son | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Inculpable | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racket | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Admiral | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nic’s Bro | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Silvio | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mutaraafeq | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dem a Wonder | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shes All Woman | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Be Honest | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Foxy Lady | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bion Magic | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simplify (ARG) | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Great Adventure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Elisa’s Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Marvelous Marlene | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Exchange | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Molly | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Impressive | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Bella | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Journeytothemoon | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maria’s Revenge | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.