August 5, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kid Azteca | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Packs a Wahlop | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mataro | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bay Baybe | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Fall | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ah Jeez | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gas Me Up | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eddie’s Last | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Giacometti | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Vargo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pacific States | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Storming Machine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rexford | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Argentina Cries (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Gray Magician | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alleva | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Majestic West | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Star Entry | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cajun Treasure | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Storminside | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Full Draw | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Going Away Party | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Glenroy | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paul L | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Win With Pride | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Circle West | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Air Force Red | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Give Me the Lute | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whatmakessammyrun | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Box | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kanderel | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nero | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dubai Key (ARG) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tequila Tigre | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Baylee | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blazing Bardot | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valentine Ghost | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Dream | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tequila Sunset | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Spice | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reluctant | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaylas Joy | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet N Go | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Crane | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Equilove (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Carousel | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A New Peace | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bowl of Cherries | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Invincibella (GB) | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Canam Gal | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Loves Karaoke | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 98 | Ana Lisa | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dannybob | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | Pistachio Princess | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Lalic (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Real Good Deal S.) – Real Good Deal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Slow Down Andy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smuggler’s Run | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finneus | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Up G | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joker Boy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal ‘n Rando | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big City Lights | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lmlooknformischief | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Creative Peak | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Avenue | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Win the Day | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flintmore | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rijeka (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Talker | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kazan (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bee Catcher | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honos Man | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oncoming | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Muhammad Ali (PER) | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tartini | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jedi Master | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kingmax (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Famous Star | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One More Bid | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Refugee | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Traegar | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conquering King | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Western Cape | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Sneakers | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Encode | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of Makena | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Upstart Yankee | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 98 | Pass Interference | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.