August 4, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Happy Gal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart of the Night | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Peer | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Paloma Blanca | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queenzy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Balenciaga Betty | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bolt’s Broad | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dream State | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Cherry Chaos | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Pride of the Nile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Infinite Diamond | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | Accelerina | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Candy Caramel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Three Strands | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Li’l Grazen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Righteously | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trouble N Paradise | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maycee Jo | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Protonico | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island Life | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Riddle | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Verrazano | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Velvet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Granola Girl | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gimme Mo Baby | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peligroso | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adelie (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kitty Kitana (GB) | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Tiara | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unwhirled | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruthless But Kind | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiergarten | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 98 | Maeve of Connaught (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hero Status | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palagio | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donner Lake | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Joe Won | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Practical Impact | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surrogate | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Sheldon | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goldini | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ethan’s Animal | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barnfield | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Constant Conflict | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cool Your Jets | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Today Matters | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bravestone | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoodlum | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rvindicated | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weegee | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ginsburned | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Settecento | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Egomania | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Everlys Girl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shared Future | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Pass | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Soul | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame It On Rose | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loma Vista | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight’s Girl | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landslid | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Silk Stocking | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Camie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Steps | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pammy’s Ready | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snark | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Woodbine Way | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Del Mar Drama | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stressed | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Arcadian Way | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Red Diamond | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Lexington Humor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Coruscation | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Equilove (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | So Softly | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fliplit | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parco | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No People | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Squillions | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Rosie | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bali Dancer | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jewelofakid | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slam Diego | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clearance | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Charlotte Harbor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.