August 3, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Kiser Novice S.) – Jonathan Kiser Novice S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Howyabud (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Tapatino (FR) | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lydford (GB) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burn The Evidence (GB) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Decisive Triumph | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Going Country (IRE) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theocrat (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Darn That Song | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Glittering Prize | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Frosty Invasion | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Fuligni | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Ace Up Her Sleeve | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Laughter | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Mike’s Little Diva | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Yogi | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Printrack | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Never Early | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Not Yet Charlie | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raw Courage | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leddy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready to March | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Achilles Heel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Adelaide Miss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Canoe | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Voice | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charge Account | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jasminesque | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carry On | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shadolamo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Invaluable | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chaysenbryn | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sosua Summer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Java Buzz | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Theregoesmymiracle | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sul Pharoah | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Upper Level | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rocket’s Red Glare | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Triumphant Road | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Stealththirtyfour | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Collaboration | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokie Eyes | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Jasmine | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dream On Cara | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amanda’s Folly | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bernt Again | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweetest Princess | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Quinn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiergan | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Knows | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Fourteen | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blewitt | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vintage Hollywood | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Troubleshooter | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dot’s Dollar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free Square | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Gray Leonard | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silipo | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buckingham Prince | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hagler | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Swift Tap | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Must Be Love | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Lion in Zion | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Rocky Sky (IRE) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Princess Fawzia | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Poca Mucha | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Juxtapose | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bramble Bay | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Movie Moxy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Angel Palm (GB) | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | American Bridge (GB) | 1.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Flashndynamite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | W W Fitzy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Halo City | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 14 | Millefeuille | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Played Hard | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Family Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Cathedral Beach | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ginnsu Warrior | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Sixty Three S | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yono | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Flipping Fun | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Braciole | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Arthurian | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Centavo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Bezos | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Regality | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Heads Or Tails | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.