July 28, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bochombo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Art | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Falcon | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocky Gibraltar | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Charlie | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hijo Galante | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twokidsfromdabronx | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fireman Dan | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heaven Shines | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Demon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin for Revenge | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paint Me Lucky | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Treasure | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outright | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Beat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Family Biz | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbroken Star | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cross Examine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buttonwood Tree | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrest | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hiding the Brick | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ring General | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lookin to Excel | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D D S Express | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Divinely Diverse | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sasquatch Ride | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Erik the Viking | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Macho Sam | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arickaree | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Maven | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elevado | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Redline | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ikigai | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Biarritz | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Racer | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King of Speed | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lincoln City | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Image | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Encroachment | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | It’s My House | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Santos to Wilson | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dance to the Music | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Memories | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slammed | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never for Money | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Destiny | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grace Adler | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | With This Vow | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Ofthe Temple | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Almost a Factor | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scarabea | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unfaithful Ways | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Octane (BRZ) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Witch Moon | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taranta (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dramatizer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fleet Treat S.) – Fleet Treat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Connie Swingle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Opening Buzz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Dawson | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fun to Dream | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tam’s Little Angel | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gianna’s Wild Cat | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Everlys Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 98 | Ellamira | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Oubabe | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen’s Code | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fore Flag | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Marcus | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kings River Knight | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Legs Romolo | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Erebus | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rancho Red | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Attenzione | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Threecardmonte | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Niko | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 98 | Bag’s Gold | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Orth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Artistic Serve | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.