July 10, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Yellen | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Rose | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms No Vax | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lordhearmyprayer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kay Tee Gal | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emerald Banker | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty Tin Tin | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Not Phar Now | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duress | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Troubling Moon | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Casalsa | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Last Zip | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reux (GB) | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Lincoln | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Eminency | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barone Marchis | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patrick the Great | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil Or Angel | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crawford County | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fair to Middlin | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Water Flow | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gentle Jack Frost | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Denis | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Splendid Summer | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Left On Boylston | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Media Sensation | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theregoesmymiracle | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Nobility | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Joker | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lefty’s War | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Islandman | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Question My Sanity | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Myplayalinda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | First to Act | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mashnee Girl | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Surprise | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Me | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wasp | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Man | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vienna Code | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zainalarab | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adelaide Miss | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nevisian Sunrise | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evvie Jets | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Fawzia | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Poca Mucha | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lashara (GB) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King’s Harlequin (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Dracarys | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rheaume | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Colors | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hail To | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eylara (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Bourbon | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Met in Miami | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stepper | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballymore Star (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Saginaw S.) – Saginaw S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Listentoyourheart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Market Alert | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Knows | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jemography | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Therisastormbrewin | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brooklyn Strong | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | North Carolina | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Imola | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream of a Day | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greg’s Honor | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wick Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Longest Day | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Everesting | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Iceman Commeth | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calloway Peak | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Union of Thoughts | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bali Riddim | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.