Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 30, 2022

June 30, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 2 Cowichan (IRE) 1.00 1 2-1
5 6 Redifined 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 8 Just a Care (IRE) 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 4 Fourway Stop 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 5 Love Tank 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 3 Shaymyname 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 7 Apple Picker 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lady Wildcat (IRE) 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Truebelieve 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Forestwood Lane 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Irish Giant 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Scorpion Dynasty 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Dee Bo 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Quintarelli 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Strong Embrace 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Thataint Tooshabby 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Solib 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Rosemary Potatoes 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Vintage Girl 6.00 2.9 5-1
1A 8 Spooky Road 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Radiant Gem 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Clara Belle 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Crypto Cash 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Grumps Little Tots 3.50 1.9 3-1
1 2 Dark Storm 4.00 3.4 6-1
1A 4 Mount Travers 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 5 Lost in Rome 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 7 Peruvian Boy 6.00 6 11-1
5 6 Musical America 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Topic Changer 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Olympic Dreams 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Sense a Giant 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Loz 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Silent Running 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Conquist 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Compromiser 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Kingdom On Paws 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Lucky Brody 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Curlin’s Wisdom 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Devil’s Code 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Forty Comets 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Scotto 6.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Jake Rocks 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Forest Spirit 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Cajun Commander 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Heads Or Tails 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Centavo 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Nature Boy 20.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Vincent 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Montebello 4.50 1 2-1
7 8 Price Discipline 0.60 3.1 6-1
4 4 Full Moon Fever 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Colloquy 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 2 Son of an Ex 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cool Laoban 20.00 6.2 12-1
1A 7 Forever Wicked 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Thrill of It 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Trending 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beauty Amazed 10.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Hard Rye Guy 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Hilliard 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Q F Seventy Five 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Dante’s Fire 20.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Conquer the World 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Easter (FR) 2.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Balthus (IRE) 5.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Therisastormbrewin 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Jazz Time Girl 6.00 1 2-1
2 1 Roundabout 8.00 2 4-1
4 3 Miss Sugar Hill (GB) 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 5 Geometrique 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Mostly Harmless 6.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Diamant Damhsa (IRE) 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Legend’s Song 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Diamond Status 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Queen Quist 15.00 9.6 18-1
7 6 Ricelle 50.00 10.7 20-1
12 12 Noble Aviate (IRE) 15.00 11.7 22-1
1 9 Grandma T 30.00 12.6 24-1
14 14 Bella Bettina 12.00 SCRATCH
15 16 She Caught My Eye 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Belleshazza 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Lordhearmyprayer 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.