June 18, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flintmore | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baldoro | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Bro Coop | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Prophet | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rio King | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Sheldon | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pittsburgh | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charlotte Harbor | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Fire | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cinnamon Cat | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spooky Lady | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Bossy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses N Gold | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Fasig-tipton Debutante S.) – Fasig-tipton Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tom’s Regret | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rousing Jewel | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E Z Pharis | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paddle On Polly | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Silent | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Mo | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokem for You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travel Smart | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Virulente (FR) | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fluent | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight’s Girl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bonita Leona | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | So Softly | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beignet | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No People | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catalon | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worthiness | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mensa | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Rewind | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sensible Cat | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella D | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellie Arroway | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ole Silver | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amy C (GB) | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Havana Love (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Sweep | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Santa Maria S.) – Santa Maria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Mystify | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Varda | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Bertie | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Private Mission | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Stripe (ARG) | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Jamboree | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Plus | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Charms | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sword Zorro (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Planetario (BRZ) | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Order and Law | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Always | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Lonhro | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom Bombadil | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Entry | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pyeong Chang | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funkenstein | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Magician | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Me Macho | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Growth Engine | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sniper Kitten | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Border Town | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Encoder | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liberal (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caisson | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | East Rand | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Fasig-tipton Futurity) – Fasig-tipton Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Lightning | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tahoma | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salta | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pop d’Oro | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Absolutely Zero | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good N Thirsty | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smokem Howard | 50.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Fire | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Castleknock | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tizlightning | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mamba Cool | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Worse Read Sanchez | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bang for Your Buck | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Square Cat | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nolongerahobby | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | If Id Told You | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mobou | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So I’m Told | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Minister Shane | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.