June 11, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Cheena | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vegas Magic | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half Nelson | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cahuilla | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lt’s Choice | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s So Fancy | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sky On Ice | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | With This Vow | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Dancing | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia At Midnight | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Priano | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conundrum | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Tiber | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Do Not Swipe Left | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Superman Shaq | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Angelcents | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Crane | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Carousel | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storming Lady | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Jet Go | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La V. | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Island Life | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Respectfully | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Good Vibes Only | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rookie Mistake | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gerlach’s | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Squalotoro | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stir the Pot | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Rush Candy | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Hand | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Connie Swingle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Half Past Twelve | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Mary | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blushing (FR) | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lexington Humor | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Dawson | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapit Doux | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Affirmed S.) – Affirmed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | High Connection | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doppelganger | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneering Papa | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopper | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Newgrange | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fast Draw Munnings | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fenestra | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes He Can | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | California Street | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Special | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silken Prince | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Mo | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Niles Channel | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inch | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ima Saint Too | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Affable | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arkaan | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extra Hope | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Endeavor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hudson Ridge | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parnelli | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dean Martini | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Busker Allie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roubaix | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Patriot | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Koko’s Mom | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Game | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Greek to Me | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dialing Scotty | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Galarina | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truly a Mess | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grazen Touch | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Airkita | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Take the Soup | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Summer Lake | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sapadilla | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.