June 2, 2022 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Girls a Bullet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brunella | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Erica | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapalong | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Darlene Strong | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Dawn | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Distinctive Flower | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Nutcracker Ballet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cigarette Boat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo’s Treasure | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mabuhay | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Cerrito | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curly Jack | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Prank | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boxster | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Awakening | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chrome’s Right | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Levee Proud | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heston | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Union | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Glory | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dudley | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thispointintime | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Consider | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Super Brother | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Stones | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Major Cam | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mora | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Better Dasher | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Patti | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Aby B | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lotta Roses | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Susie R | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lead Me | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Full Moon | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Oyster | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cold Call | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Mercedes | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meant to Be | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dilmunia | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pray Gloria | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Public Service | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Traverse | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | West Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Solid Tune | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Devious | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Epicurean | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pistol | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Pho | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gorman | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Believing | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fracing Nasty | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t She a Pistol | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Out Work’n | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Teo | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lookinforexcitemen | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amazing Rocket | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tangled Emotions | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corrente de Ouro | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Urban Vancouver | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Roan | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Adam | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Absam | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Opry | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingmeister | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leblon | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highestdistinction | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Koufax | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Policy Option | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Savvy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eli | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pharoah’s Heart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Be Like Water | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Social Dilemma | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thanozapper | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minute Waltz | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Charge | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laynlomakndough | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ursulina | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roc’s Princess | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.