May 28, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tough Tickets | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking Stones | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Castle | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bohemian Ruby | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nova Loves a Fight | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Centavo | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yah Huh | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secret Rules | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truebelieve | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerous Edge | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dee Bo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spectatorless | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Big Grey | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tuesday’s Child | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Brownie | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alite | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wickosity | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Front Porch | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Platinum Road | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Sleepychipmunk | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Igottahaveit | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Mo Ready | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Battalion | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jack the Cat | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Artemus Bridge | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | American Lincoln | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hieroglyphics | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kid Chocolate | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nutzforboltz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 11 | Mississippi | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Prioritize | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Dark Storm | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Grumps Little Tots | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Full Count Felicia | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mozay | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lakota Spirit | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m Glad (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | With Bells On | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Flying Pharoah | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chaberton | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Libretto (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Get Respect | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unwhirled | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judgement Time | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Whiskey Lullaby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ready A. P. | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Fist | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Flame | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Makin My Move | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thinking It Over | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tellaperfecttale | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bankers Daughter | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captivating Cara | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Barrage | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rally Squirrel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breadman | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spettro | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Breadwinner | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Flintshire | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Son of an Ex | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barleewon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Full Moon Fever | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Major Spin | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Majestic Tiger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Thrill of It | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | The Man to See | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Highly Motivated | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stage Raider | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Boss | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Bombastic | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sibelius | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Market Alert | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kershaw | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Reds | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hammerin Aamer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Soaring Softly S.) – Soaring Softly S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lost My Sock | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Derrynane | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ouraika (FR) | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sail By | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Poetry | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breeze Easy (GB) | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wonka | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chardy Party (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snow Loves a Fight | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Haughty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Baby Man | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wish You Well | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Anador (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eminency | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Martinez | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brennan’s War | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Sensation | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crock of Gold | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Down | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unlikely | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sell Something | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eridromos | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tonalistic | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moon Hunter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Compromiser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.