Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 21, 2022

May 21, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cherubic Factor 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Santos to Wilson 0.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Baladi 0.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Cosmo 0.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Constant Conflict 0.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Heartbreaker 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Classymademoiselle 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Absolutely Zero 0.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Funkhouser 0.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Smokin Cheena 0.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Pappy’s Girl 0.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Half Nelson 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Like the Wind 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Inch 0.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Majestic Wind 0.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Lil Light Headed 0.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Little Mischief 0.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pioneering Papa 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tenth Street Don 0.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 No Limitation 0.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Don’t Talk 0.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Carson’s Legacy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Johnny Podres 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Explosive 0.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Stotland 0.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Mr. T’s Thirsty 0.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Willy the Cobbler 0.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zahra 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Zabava 0.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Best of Show 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Heart River 0.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Warren’s Memorable 0.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Discrete Stevie B 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rocking Redhead 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Counterparty Risk (IRE) 0.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Freedom Flyer 0.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Velvet Slippers 0.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Quiet Secretary 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 New Heat 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thrive 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Prince Magician 0.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Divine Feminine 0.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Perfecto Amor 0.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Granada Flavor 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Arthur Spooner 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Mizdirection S.) – Mizdirection S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Leggs Galore 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hear My Prayer 0.00 3 6-1
5 5 Royal Address (IRE) 0.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Stella Noir 0.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Bye Bye Bertie 0.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Bella D 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Comradery (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Border Town 0.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Coast of Roan 0.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Encoder 0.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Overdue 0.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Guildsman (FR) 0.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 City Rage 0.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Hurricane Cloud (GB) 0.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.