May 20, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Classy Dill | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Humblebumblefumble | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Helladic | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherry Chaos | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Acquired Class | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Court Snort | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T N T Nova | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lunatic | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Defiant | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stoic Luna | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back On the Street | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chrome of Our Own | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Madiha | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Clare | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Pompeii | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carmen Miranda | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barrister’s Ride | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot On the Trail | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maxim Moment | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breakfast Ride | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tahoe Secrets | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nyquiler | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Ricky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Silent Declaration | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ikigai | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brutto | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Houndstooth | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trainer Please | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Box | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coalinga Road | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Racer | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Gronk | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pequena Tormenta | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizzy Twister | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkative Gal | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Work to Live | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loma Vista | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | For Love Not Money | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Il Capitano | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barsabas | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shut Up Michael (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ko Samui (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Art | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Charlie | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tofino Bay | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ropers N Wranglers | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mensa On Tap | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Rosie | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Team Concept | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Squillions | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peacehaven | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Macho Girl | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Derby | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Acoustic Shadow | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.