May 16, 2022 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Will | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Eyed Raven | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galactica | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onomatopoeia | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notorious Nick | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Saint | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fly First Class | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sentimental Cross | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Ditty’s Kitty | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epworth | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Sophia | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Presley’s Artwork | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mazie G | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Billy Yank | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fake Solution | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Machinegunpreacher | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Strategy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D Von Tae | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Slushy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Gift | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifth Risk | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Nayyy Nay | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flirtatious Smile | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tropinka | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ride Richie Ride | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swaggy George | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Thorn | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J’s Little Man | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flyta | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock City Rocket | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kela’s Turn | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snapy Gal | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Darling | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olive Oyl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Topless | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Moment | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Damascus Gate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hooked On Dreams | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockymountain Brew | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justice Once | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Chief | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swampdrainer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Over Oliver | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lurch | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.