May 15, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Halite | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond the Victory | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Irish Riviera | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maid the Journey | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krug | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Resident Liberal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | World of Fools | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eye of Gunfighter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Extra Medium | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Beach Traffic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Tourist | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colorofacloud | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Some Is Nine | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Director | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tough One | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Touch of Her Hand | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Algebraic | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Justwaveandsmile | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battlebus | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fizbo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hair of the Dog | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Tall Dawg | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victor’s Dynasty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Oldies But Goodies | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Chaos | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Jerome | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phra Phrom | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swallow Beach | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Seraf | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spritzer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Unorthodox | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Transfer the Funds | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stimulus Maker | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wonder Water | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Justice | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Lad | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get Off My Cloud | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ulf | 6.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keys Discount | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tiddly Wink | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bold Licorice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | See Out | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mentalist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Scintillio | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Flash Frost | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Reel Well | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Day the Music Died | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Askin for a Baskin | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seanow | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime Blues | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maythehorsebwithu | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No More Talk | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seany P | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fly Me Home | 1.40 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R Averie Lynn | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Away to Return | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hufflepuff | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tritone Gal | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Susan Ann | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Killy Start | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Torre Branca | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tasweya | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Aadhana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Still My Babe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Senson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Eifs | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Opeongo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Monyinthebanksey | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boondoggle | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camp Pendleton | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antipoison | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snow Candy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s the Ben’s | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.