May 15, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Digitize | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Predicted | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nabokov | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Braille | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cloud Forest | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zuzudini | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Act Like Artie | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Linny Kate | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love’s Misery | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Principessa | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady of Thoroton | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Sensation | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Synonymous | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Got the Gold | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hereby | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kingstown | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fair to Middlin | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Makart | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Denis | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Out the Woods | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Couples Therapy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Panster | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Selby | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Straw Into Gold | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Klickitat | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chulainn | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Phar Now | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chowda | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Out East | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bail Out | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Am the Law | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hooky Player | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strike Price | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Knight | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fazaro | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lefty’s War | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Irie Spice | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Question My Sanity | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jerry the Nipper | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Ardito | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perceived | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Rule | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | South Street | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three Jokers | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Civil War | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Olympic Romp | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Flighty Lady (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love And Thunder (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | New York Girl (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Seeking (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Lady | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King’s Harlequin (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Dracarys | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evvie Jets | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fionnbharr | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Halo City | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Eloquent Speaker | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gold Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Senbei | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Provocateur | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Wait Up | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fluid Situation | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runninsonofagun | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Code | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Diamant Damhsa (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laugh and Play | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Radiant Gem | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Diamond Status | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mispelled Mooon | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silenceofthe Habs | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Green Screen Queen | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Legend’s Song | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roundabout | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ricelle | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roma Carpe | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loaded and Ready | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thisladyis the Law | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.