May 14, 2022 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | God’s Pick | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worththemoney | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Heartbreaker | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bentley | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacrament | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lonestar Chrome | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Trixie | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No One Cares | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Great Mills Road | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zenchua Sky | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of the Ship | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wandas Cafe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Goodnightsugar | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Me as I Am | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bind Me Up | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fetching Fury | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Monday | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Wolf | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kido’s Sling Shot | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stroll Likn Outlaw | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vaudeville Mews | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wake Up Angel | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Bay Breeze | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Call Krystal | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keen Contender | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rome’s Burning | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nifty Daze | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dream Pire | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anime Day | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dial It Up a Notch | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rainbows Are Free | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adria | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Allen’s Rocket | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kwai Chang | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Too Many Bills | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Brakes | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Night Terror | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Brush of Luck | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Say It Nicely | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Late for Lunch | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nosbor | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Casanova | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Finish Up | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Our Last Chance | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shut Up Man | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prideofdixiecreed | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snap’n Tap | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stormin’ J. J. | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Applicant | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apollo Bay | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Bobby McGee | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daahers Bully | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riding the Train | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.