May 14, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gravitron | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sommer Velvet | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mamba Queen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Devil | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Summer Beauty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Made to Hustle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Miss Foxann | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockinhippiechick | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Familia | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love Ran Red | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lola Flo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dixieland Dancer | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Marvella Nasty | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Awesome Tiz | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joyful Noise | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parched Ghost | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eloquent Lady | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Offlee Graysful | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Run Away Empire | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Serifos | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carvellian Quest | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye’n a Deal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Succeed | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money Room | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Man | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Stalker | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Threethehardway | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pay the Kid | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hayne’s Fever | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excalibur | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jammin Still | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsknownasthebern | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Bossy Mama | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fast Lani | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Above the Limit | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Is Zippy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Oil On Canvas | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Orbit Mars | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Trikki Nikki | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hello Gracie | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sprite’s Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | El Bochinche | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Something | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | La Dame | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rapidamente | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Claude | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bullets Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Charliv | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Icy Reply | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harper’s Do | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Tripp | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kisses for Hannah | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Touch of Her Hand | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Superiority | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Petite Rouge | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mejoramiga | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Illusion of Hope | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buffum’s Beauty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Date Night Kisses | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Camelia Rod | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Lookin Royal | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monarch Beach | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Princess | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortes | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mail Call | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adelaide Miss | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spun Glass | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | The Grass Is Blue | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Polished Gal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Margie’s Heaven | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dendrobia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Foggy Dreams | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paisley Singing | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No More Mask | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Fire | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Market of Stocks | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sax | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salty Saul | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miz the Best | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.