May 13, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Fomo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zip Line to Heaven | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Law of the Land | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patriarch Artie | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | H R H Jellybean | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always Misbehaving | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strange Arrange | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Always Charming | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Billingsgate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gallant George | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thruster | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mr Everything | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Golden Avieator | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flash Is Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | R Tenderoni | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lightfoot Miss | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Account | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cairo Queen | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imagine the Mojo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Got a Good Reason | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tate | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Savoy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blo My Budget | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Contented Now | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Ten | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Minister | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nostalgic Run | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bode’s Maker | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Andrew | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Striking a Pose | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tankerville | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Man Pots N Pans | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Irishman | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knowhowiknow | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s a Shooter | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Up Against It | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Deshackled | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy the Kid | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Francis X. | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loaded Sniper | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dialing Dixie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lifespan | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Panna Mine | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Asta | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Whisper | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Tappy Sue | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | M’Lady Thatcher | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ladro Di Fichi | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pray for the U S A | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Samana Laura | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Twentyforkaratrose | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heard | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | What Does It Take | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cosmicality | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Number | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Must Be Love | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Call Me Plucky | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ace Nine Nine | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lacco Ameno | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nordic Rhythm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Goldie’s Boy | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tenax | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mint Game | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nicky Bear | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Boss Man J J | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On the Engine | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Howard’s Rock | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mugsy Malone | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Gulley | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winston’s Gold | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forth | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.