May 13, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Maarten Girl | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Geometrique | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Memento Mi | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolce Sera | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Hop Picker | 0.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodmorning Angel | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Game Theory | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queentigua | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormi Cat Lady | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Sugar | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dutchess of N Y | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bells On Her Toes | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Uncle Curly | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Kringle | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Missionatthespa | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Maseta | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Jumpster | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Street Culture | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Barrel of Quests | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Courageoous Oh La | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Suit of Armor | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dancing With Rico | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Raw Courage | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be the Boss | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bointheback | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Johnselectricride | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | The Sleepychipmunk | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ableton | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Brownie | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seaver | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Makart | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Gal Val | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Inspiration | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Electrolyzer | 6.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mister Chairman | 5.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heels Together | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tekila | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afilada | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | School of Thought | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Commando | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fleur Elyse | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Positive Sum | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | U Cant Handle This | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Price Talk | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hammerin Aamer | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Easy Time | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buy Land and See | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Tide | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Kumbalay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Enid | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Famished | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Soulmate | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Principled Stand (GB) | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bernie’s Mistress | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tass | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amalfi Princess | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minaun (IRE) | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eloquent Speaker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Betsy Blue | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fifth Anniversary | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hydra | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bye Bye | 2.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Black Belt | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Bay | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mosienko | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Mia | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shadolamo | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quasar | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Got the Gold | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bustin Up | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Addicted to You | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Hereby | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Mogul | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiz Snow | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Hunter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Reservation | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kingstown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gold Bullion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pepper King | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | How You Feeling | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Civil Service | 6.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Down | 6.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Civility | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On Palm Sunday | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.