May 12, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Left Hand Thread | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Coffeewithchris | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gettin’downonit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dontinvademyspace | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Mamba | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosco | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz No Clown | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Moreno | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Time Vixen | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simmard Shenanigan | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life in Flash | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Postino’s Secret | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arbutus | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | California Bella | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wet My Beak | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daily Planet | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saints Victory | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foretell | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alittlesliceof Pie | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Blo My Budget | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tate | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate Irony | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Recycle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emphasize | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rookieoftheyear | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Meister | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contented Now | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Samui Sunset | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Nicky Bear | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Let Me Finish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Titrate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mr Everything | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Back | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tyler Time | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor My World | 30.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chrisatude | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Cash | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sacred Place | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Degas | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cooke Brothers | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Given | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confusion Baby Boy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Mosley | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Callyourightback | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scaredy Cat | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What Say You | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doublbarrelbourbon | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr Rags | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ninetynine Excuses | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Me Digas | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Bob | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Why Not Tonight | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Candy Girl | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Blushing | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Who Knows What | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Except Temptation | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Imagination | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Choice | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Helluva Lady | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dejohn | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Tower | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Service | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel Victory | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Illustrious | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Ron | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.