May 6, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Too Bossy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Snark | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Briefcase Girl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Granola Girl | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Act of Serendipity | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor It | 1.80 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzling Joker | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chloe’s Crown | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nap Time | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keepurself Alive | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vetoed | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conundrum | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tee Shot | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liar Liar | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romeo’s Glory | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weegee | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sierra Pass | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Encroachment | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Move Over (GB) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stitzy | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tartini | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frontier Market | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Via Egnatia | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Mo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Legend | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lil Light Headed | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Vision | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chris Fix | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its Big | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Samba Flavor | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arickaree | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cross Indian | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Blackbird | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sensible Move | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avery Blue | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostem | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mensa On Tap | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ela Calimera Mou | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz My Princess | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shez Our Arch | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Funkenstein | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Finglas Lad | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Company | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shortman | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Americaredwhiteblu | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thrive | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mando | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calder Vale | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Redline | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | So It Would Seem | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gillian Elizabeth | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Lady | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Blossoming | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Renee | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle of Hope | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 98 | Gypsy Lynn | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Topolina | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wetherly | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Picture of a Lady | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missing Penny | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Claim of Passion | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 7 | Prince Ricky | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 5 | Reckoning Day | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Dr. Troutman | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 98 | Elusive Virtue | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 6 | Black Storm | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | King Parker | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 3 | Arrivederci Roma | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 98 | Speed Pass | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 8 | Prince Hussar | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Handy Dandy | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Road | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beef Winslow | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oh Great (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nero Tulip (GB) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stotland | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Echosmith (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Egomania | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don’tcrossthedevil | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | St Anthony | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.