May 6, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Remembermom | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of Hollywood | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Nicky | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Joy | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yah Huh | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Realm | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Easy Shot | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s Fire | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giocare | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chris and Dave | 1.60 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kumar | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auburn Hills | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Storm | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kannon Fire | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Mia | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Thornhill | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Franny Lu | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tales of Makenna | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom Machine | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solib | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caumsett | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caragate | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Infringement | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Act Accordingly | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vincent | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barone Marchis | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Limit Up | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Igottahaveit | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Something Majestic | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crock of Gold | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Veinticuatro | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jump Starter | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Khafre | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | High Tide | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Irwin (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Bay Street Money | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 13 | American Rule | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Alado | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trappezoid | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1X | 15 | Castle Chaos | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 8 | Starting Over | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 14 | Dr Ardito | 1.20 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Three Jokers | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Thin White Duke | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Supply Chain | 3.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Civil War | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bastet | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Tony’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New York Banker | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irresistible Girl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Karen | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | London Gold | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daily Briefing | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R Working Girl | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shiraz | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tilted Towers | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Victor’s Dynasty | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Last Zip | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money in the Bank | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Get Set | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Pete | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Next Flight | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flat Out S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Will E Sutton | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Locally Owned | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Portos | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blewitt | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior in Chief | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Constitution (CHI) | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nikostratos | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front Line Dancer | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whistler’s Honor | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Major Spin | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Salt Cay | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ripe for Mischief | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Uragano | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joint Resolution | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kimbo Dancer | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Saratoga Sky | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lucky Brody | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Bruce | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Lister | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.