May 1, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lone Scout | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuskegee Cat | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Migration | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baldoro | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flintmore | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Birth of Cool | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Bro Coop | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Torajiro | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Divine Feminine | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mesa Empire | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catbernay | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mad Catter | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rantanen | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Bombadil | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Me Macho | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Scott Daddy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Prince Magician | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vella | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Beauty | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Dialed In | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | It’s Simple | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Everlys Girl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gotham Desire | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Northern Gem | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Channel | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Squared Shady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Settecento | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Rob | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Ziggy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missing Maurice | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awkward Morning | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Kingdom | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Bonus | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erik the Viking | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Witch Moon | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Cold Gold | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tmorrowisalongtime | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | With This Vow | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beachgrass | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For the Good Times | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Queen | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Renegade Princess | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Empress | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Connelly | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Manitowish | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightinthedarkness | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McWherter | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weston | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shady Empire | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Highly Distorted | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silken Prince | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Active Account | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Robber | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lovamour (FR) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Split Then Double (GB) | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella D | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Woodbine Way | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nu Pi Lambda | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glesga Gal (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mendham Mill | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortunata Tensio | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Mo | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Diamond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | She’s Devoted | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | All Four Winds | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Heaven’s Music | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bag’s Gold | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Dick Best | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take the Two Ten | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tribal Dancing | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Poseidon’s Kid | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carol’s Comic | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hey Jasper | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Munny Ball | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Irish Circles | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magnificent Ride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Wilshire S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Canoodling | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Javanica | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keyflower (FR) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Eddie’s New Dream | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | England’s Rose | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amy C (GB) | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stella Noir | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Secretary | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Bye Bye Bertie | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Carpe Vinum | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Miss Dracarys | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.