May 1, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Colloquy | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Front Porch | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kong Loves a Fight | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ria’s Angel | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rush to Honor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Curly | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bar Fourteen | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breadman | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barleewon | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Practice Squad | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sundaeswithsandy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Kringle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Noble Journey | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Fidget | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Actuary (GB) | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Revolution | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fotis | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dontbelate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Tickets | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sahlabiya | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Contemporary Art | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Canisy | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen Quist | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh Mrs. Maisel | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mozay | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Siempre Elegante | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Bonnie T | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rhombique | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | School of Thought | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tango Tango Tango | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Box N Score | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sanctuary City | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tide of the Sea | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hombre | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Malthael | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Megayacht | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slicked Back | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Will E Sutton | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | How Lucky | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kerik | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scott Alaia | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alpine Queen | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amity Island | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carly Hustle | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Matoula | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Best Idea | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Forever Wicked | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Anejo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pier Forty | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Emperor’s Cause | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grabbing the Money | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Son of an Ex | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Convertible Freeze | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Pineapple Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – License Fee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Alwayz Late | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Too Sexy | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss J McKay | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gogo Shoes | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Igloo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Majorette | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Assertive Style | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Devil’s Outlaw | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smoke and Heat | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Torpedo Run | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rugged Union | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stjames | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Necco | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Acamar | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Urban Forest | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Street Fight | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Islandman | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dads Good Runner | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Town Branch | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Baltasar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.