April 30, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dramatizer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dolly May (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Varoma | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Freedom Lass | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pop Pop’s Dream | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Self Isolation | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ever Smart | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fairy Cakes (GB) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kleen Karma | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jibber Jabber (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Court Snort | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cocktail Princess | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | E Z Pharis | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Classy Dill | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmo Katie | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paddle On Polly | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Dana | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Del Mar Drama | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On Purpose | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Rachel | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallovie (GB) | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pistachio Princess | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Kona Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brickyard Ride | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strike That | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miles Ahead | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tigre Di Slugo | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Strongconstitution | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Good Vibes Only | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Buck | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Podres | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caerulean | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moose Mitchell | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Minister Shane | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Really Big News | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Midnight Somewhere | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Raging Waters | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rawhide Rawlins | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Goodbye | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Californian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Stilleto Boy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holden the Lute | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Express Train | 0.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spielberg | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shaaz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | If Id Told You | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mamba Cool | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Continental Divide | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Standing O | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Discretionary Day | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bang for Your Buck | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Anitanewmercedes | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mobou | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bravestone | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silver Summer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Oneparticulrharbor | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hapi Hapi | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Midnight Memories | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Parco | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valiancy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Banjo Queen | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Side by Side | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Derby | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Fix | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Family Affair | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forgiving Spirit | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oubabe | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quincey | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chipper | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Disko Tribute | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orth | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Erebus | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adriatic | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Speed Grazy | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Infernal Tiger | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Centre Circle | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doyoustillloveme | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dutch Bus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Candybox | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Santa Margarita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Bigly | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Park Avenue | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Jamboree | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Stripe (ARG) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Varda | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharapova | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bye Bye Bertie | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamore | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lisette | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Charles Whittingham S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Masteroffoxhounds | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Eagle | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Brilliant | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dean Martini | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gregdar | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moraweth | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Motorious (GB) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indulge | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clayton Delaney | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adare | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Fast Bro | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coalinga Road | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mubtadaa | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Star Racer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Air Force Red | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.