April 29, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Chaysenbryn | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Foxtail | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mosienko | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Charge Account | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Gringotts | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Indian Bella | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Wait a Minute | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Shadolamo | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Preposterous | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stone Creator | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Jazz | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freddymo Factor | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Fine | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That Is Key | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Affirmed Success S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reggae Music Man | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ny Traffic | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lobsta | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank On Shea | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hold the Salsa | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Lies | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Treat Street | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lola Lola | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Central | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shinfull | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shamalamadingdong | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Impazible Dream | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giggling Ghost | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | See Me Now | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sean the Hammer | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hit by a Wave | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Ready | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raising Sand | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinny Two Cents | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mister J T | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince of Fenton | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Man | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Levy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R Boy Cheekum | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Rockette | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Half Birthday | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Write This Down | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blind Sight | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Appreciate | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Candy Monet | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Happy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Freedomofthepress | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bistrita | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trinity Titoli | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ofalltheginjoints | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Montauk Daddy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Sicilia Mike | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Fast Break | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Winning Drive | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Karen’s Cove | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Quality Stones | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alcools | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Belle Tapisserie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Love and Love | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Customerexperience | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Meghan | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashndynamite | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shesalittle Edgy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Betsy Blue | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miztertonic | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Luca At the Spa | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Karma’s Warrior | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sixty Three S | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Box of Joe | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raw Courage | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Royal Time | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’sgottashortfuse | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Banker | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sell Something | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pepper King | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Jet | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Gold Bullion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | How You Feeling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Be the Boss | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.