April 15, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | The Reign Song | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tom’s Regret | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Paytricia | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Smokin Amelia | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Saul Right | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | One Smokin Moon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Virulente (FR) | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Travel Smart | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Rosie | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Precious Insight | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizzy Twister | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Norah’s Princess | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anna’s Music | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Square Not | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sapadilla | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Molly | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Point Oh | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tracy Di Vicenzo | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Maryann | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brocade | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel of Freedom | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel Nadeshiko | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bicameral | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chloe’s Girl | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Silence | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | La Pulcinela | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floral Essence | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Addiction | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zahra | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Defiant | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Joy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forgotten Vows | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hotrod Ride | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arthur Spooner | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sippin N Kissin | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vanisky | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Wild West | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paulas Cause | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Emerald Lake | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Funny Feline | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rose Maddox | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madiha | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gianna’s Wild Cat | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Girl Ranger | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exactly Wendy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Quick Finish | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charge Cash | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cajun Treasure | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Very Irish | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starship Chewbacca | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Octopus | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Heartfullofstars | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sharp Warning | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.