April 10, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | La V. | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Ready Jet Go | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Roses R Blue | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | She Loves Karaoke | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cayton Kid | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Stoic Luna | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Spanish Channel | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | St Helena | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Flag Salute | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Casillalater | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
11 | 11 | Big Mama Thornton | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | So Softly | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Lovely Lola | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Nang Singha | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Lookin At Sweetie | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Roman Empress | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Daddy’sfavoriteson | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Siren Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Bran (FR) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Kanderel | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Indian Peak | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Delaware (GB) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Unwritten Code | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Empire Pass | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Princess Alexis | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Bonita Leona | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Loma Vista | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Head Start | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Sue Ettas Ghost | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Lansdowne (GB) | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Trainer Please | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Magic Man | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Golden Sandals | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Daniel’s Magic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Irish Prophet | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Ivory Sky | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Magicnthemoonlight | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Ganadora | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Little Rachel | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Hotitude | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Del Mar Drama | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Musica | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Gotham Desire | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Governor Goteven | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Miss Louna (FR) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Bristol Bayou | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | On Purpose | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Aloha Kitten | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Savvy Gal | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Respect My Candor | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Suite Madam Blue | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Lunatic | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Draw Me | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
10 | 10 | Charette | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – John Shear Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Royal Ship (BRZ) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Restrainedvengence | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
2 | 1 | Triple Tap | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Shooters Shoot | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Extra Hope | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Lambeau | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Affable | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Defunded | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Boisterously Irish | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Let It Reign | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Silent Beauty | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Machtenhaironfire | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
10 | 10 | Dorita’s Happy | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Lassarock | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Mix and Match | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
4 | 4 | Dona Flama | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | Curlin to Billions | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
11 | 11 | Belle My Belle | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Barrister’s Ride | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
10 | 10 | Big Attraction | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Lady Blackbird | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Avery Blue | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Elegance Code | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Ghostem | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | She’s a Bit Sassy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Ela Calimera Mou | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
11 | 11 | Belleo’s Music | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
7 | 7 | Tiz My Princess | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
3 | 3 | Mensa On Tap | 50.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.