April 10, 2022 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starstriker (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Julia’s Chardonnay | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Stormy Lady | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Special Bond | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seachrome | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gila | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Lovely | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lilly Chrome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pappysaysyes | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Grace | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Latte Dolce | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eclipsed | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Wonder Girl | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gem Key | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gravitron | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bode by You | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Smile At the Storm | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Four Dawn | 2.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Floris | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nebuli | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kaiyas Song | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quality | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mulling | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | M M M My Sharoana | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Al Qahira | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Distinctlypossible | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Missed Opportunity | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Yearwood | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Butterbean | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prima Ballerina | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Stand | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Falconet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Emerald | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tiffany’s Mo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dunvegan Doll | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wellman | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bagboss | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outlier | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Shake | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handcarved | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Milliken | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Run Rapidash | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tequilas Ranger | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uber Kirk | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gunnison | 30.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bizzee Channel | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Megacity | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hawkish | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Midnight Tea Time | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Eons | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mutakatif (IRE) | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Highest Honors | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Mr Dumas | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 10 | Sole Volante | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2B | 13 | Frosted Grace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Tiesto | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arrobatic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hazy Command | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Veterans Highway | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast and Flirty | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feeling Happy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devine Charger | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bombdiggity | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sweet as Pie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sunday Grace | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fannie and Freddie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Highland Square | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Taleofreadychianti | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 12 | Princess Elin | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margie’s Kitchen | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rue de Bac | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Social Mandate | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Palisades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Classicstateofmind | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twilight Gleaming (IRE) | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No Nay Franklin (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Frosty | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Panic | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Circle Back Jack | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slipstream | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaufymaker | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Beaumont S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gina Romantica | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reagan’s Decision | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Scarlet | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Matareya | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic d’Oro | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Radio Days | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chi Town Lady | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ridley’s Major | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trending | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Defensible | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Piccadilly | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Remote | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vintage Year | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calloway Peak | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Determined Gold | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quari Master | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Consulate | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | He Reigns | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Camp Daddy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Field Marshal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Curbstone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Barrzley | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Minnesota Ready | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.