April 9, 2022 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Town Branch | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scotland Yard | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magia Nera | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Enough Already | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pioneering Spirit | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Nineteen | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Young Turk | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bon Bueno | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Minister | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Blue Line | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | The Gatekeeper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Warrior Johny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Classic Mark | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Brigadier General | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Trumpets Blare | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tim Tal | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Emirates Road | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jeeper | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Raisedaroofcharlie | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Highly Flammable | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overly Critical | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Heist | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Civics Class | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maqamat | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Edge of Glory | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Navy Soul | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master of Arms | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hippodrome | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Exact Estimate | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dominican Pioneer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cape Trafalgar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Midway Miracle | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Longpants Required | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Printer’s Row | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Millefeuille | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trumpet Lilly | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pentagon | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Real Hero | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nevisian Sunrise | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Three Tipsy Chix | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ensemble (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lubna (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Joy of Painting | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Final Belle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Seasons | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hat Tip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Commanders Palace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Infinite Potential (IRE) | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Macallan | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cover Me Up | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | O P Firecracker | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Sanctuary | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Life Is a Banquet | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Iron Works | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naval Aviator | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Boss | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eli | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Knobs | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Peninsula | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gunfighter | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Commonwealth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Surveillance | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | South Bend | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Range Toddy | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prevalence | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Endorsed | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | O Besos | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nashville | 1.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manny Wah | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Three Technique | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Atoka | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Alfred James | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dolce Zel (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skims (GB) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trobairitz | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kneesnhips | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spendarella | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ouraika (FR) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glenall (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | An Agent Mistake | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Madison S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Center Aisle | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Club Car | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kalypso | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Rocket | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just One Time | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kimari | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cilla | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Four Graces | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bell’s the One | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Splendid News | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Shakertown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Lir Jet (IRE) | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Unleashed | 50.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Just Might | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Pal | 0.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gear Jockey | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chess Master | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Oops | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barraza | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natural Power (IRE) | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cowan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Toyota Blue Grass S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zandon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fenwick | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commandperformance | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emmanuel | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blackadder | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Glider | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Volcanic | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rattle N Roll | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trademark | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ethereal Road | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grantham | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Smile Happy | 1.80 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Reina de Mollendo (ARG) | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Semble Juste (IRE) | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Temper Time | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Clearly Smashing | 50.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Into Vanishing | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Microcap | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Suki | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shesa Mystery | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tabor Hall | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Family Time | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Good Penny | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Imperial | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Illiogami | 3.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Infinite | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Artemus Citylimits | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Savvy | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | City Drifter | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Momos | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | A Rose for Raven | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Heart | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Dormy | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Gallant Guy | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creative Credit | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Jammers Justice | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Striker | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Soaring Bird | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 16 | Coltonator | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Charles Chrome | 5.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shackleford’s Joy | 8.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.