April 8, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rhea Moon (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Talked | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kirstenbosch | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talented Lady | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dear Beau (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isola Mia | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Violet Storm | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Jamboree | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Princess | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fi Fi Pharoah | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classical Romance | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Varoma | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Goodbye | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfecto Amor | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Always | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swiss Swoo (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Magician | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gator Shining | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Lonhro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stanford Bay | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Morning (FR) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Carroll Girl | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exit Soul | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Queen Ofthe Temple | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Adelie (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Bourbon | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khlass (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Limited Heatwave | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hand | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torrid Tommy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnificent Ride | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven’s Music | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grazen Sun | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Founder’s Day | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Westward Breeze | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gritty Girl | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Dana | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roses and Candy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bright Leaf | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Ford | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bud Knight | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papale | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clampett | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salto de Tigre | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oneparticulrharbor | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Funkenstein | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Besame Mucho | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Come On Come On | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Conundrum | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Erik the Viking | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Boss Harty | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Little Mischief | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Mongolian Kingdom | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | K P Kwest | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.