April 3, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Teddy’s Barino | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Youte | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Dime | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pistachio Princess | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella D | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Busy Paynter | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ana Lisa | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scream and Shout | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Gigi | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vella | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Summer Dream | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Farquhar | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Newpark (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cherubic Factor | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Too Late | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Wind | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Santos to Wilson | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lil Light Headed | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Vision | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Rob | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Event | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tribute to Afleet | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pinedale | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divinely Diverse | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missing Maurice | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Bonus | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Constitutionaffair | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Encroachment | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Border Town | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone’s River | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kazan (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hurricane Cloud (GB) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sniper Kitten | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Summer | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Good Bye Putin | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quantum Quest | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kimmer | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Medina Man | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Scott Daddy | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Im Still Thirsty | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tom Bombadil | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wink and a Dream | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Gem | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sir Flatter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Blue | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beachgrass | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Witch Moon | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sommer Daisy (FR) | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Hearted | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin So Lucky | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Quest | 50.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit Doux | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proverb | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Motown Music | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holden the Lute | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Direct Line | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Owning | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Reflection | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Street Ruckus | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La La Land (IRE) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seven Charms | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosenquist | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Catcher | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | East Rand | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ottawa Fire (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willy the Cobbler | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bender | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.