April 1, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Rhythm | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Precedent | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tensas Freedom | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curly Esa | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redline | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrest | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pollo d’Oro | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gerlach’s | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McWherter | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fury Kap | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muay Thai (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excessive Cat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Active Account | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weston | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ian Glass | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Bango | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silardi | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prodigal Son | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love My Jimmy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vroysky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mo Connelly | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harddiane | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ardis | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Admiral Aeschbach | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justhappenlikethat | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Diplomacy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talkingnonstop | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ben’s a Goalie | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dont Cross El Hefe | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Them Down | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kant Beat the Rock | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kid Stole a Kiss | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ring General | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maxim Moment | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lila At the Beach | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Your Coil | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chrome of Our Own | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Speed Astern | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Back On the Street | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Best of Show | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shout It Out | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vivacious Vanessa | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Self Isolation | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Gone | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Clare | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smitten by Kitten | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Moon | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Gem | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bossy Soul | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pray for My Owner | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luxury Liner | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Dialed In | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Maddox | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Sunrise | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Race Judicata | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mensa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bossy Pegasus | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Aventapp | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten Calls | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sensible Move | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Twirling Grace | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Phoenix Tears | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Rena | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 98 | Baby’s Dream | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Missing Penny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Sheila’s Charlie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Boisterously Irish | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.