March 6, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silardi | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jamming Eddy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Never Have I Ever (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Highly Distorted | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Niles Channel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D K’s Crown | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Continental Divide | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polar | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Impossible Task | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Absolute Unit | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Hang Charlie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rifey | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doc Adams | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hong Kong Harry (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carmelita’s Man | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy P | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Luvluv | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Maior | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | There Goes Harvard | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kerouac | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Piroli | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Win the Day | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Mark | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mongolian Box | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bletchley Park | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bestrella (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Operatic | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Joy | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donut Girl | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rapid Transit | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cecile’s Chapter | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sharapova | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heels Up | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Del Mar Drama | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fi Fi Pharoah | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ironic Twist | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Hearted | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flintmore | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Troubadour | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Man | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nineeleventurbo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Force Red | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Migration | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trainer Please | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hunter John | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jedi Master | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Ysabel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Easy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eda | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Under the Stars | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Memories | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Dawn | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Everything | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fortunata Tensio | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classical Romance | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Micro Share | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – China Doll S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Island of Love (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Urban | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sterling Crest (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Dragon Queen | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Virulente (FR) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pammy’s Ready | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | An Agent Mistake | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.