February 20, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Clare | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feeling Grazeful | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Gem | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose’s Crystal | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Rockette | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Big Splash | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Impact | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Romeo’s Glory | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Arthur Spooner | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Come On Come On | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heartfullofstars | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charge Cash | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tembo | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buttered Noodles | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Storm | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Area Code | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thrive | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Limited Heatwave | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Really Big News | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Square Cat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chipper | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ardie the Legend | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exclamation | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talklessworkmore | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sawasdee | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Your Royal Coil | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rain Diva | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time for Ebby | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Toffee | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Passion | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Riddle | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island Life | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Truly Fabulous | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Batukhan (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hulk | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | World Cruiser | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywoodhellraisr | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosenquist | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Got Curly | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halfbarberbingie | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Smitten by Kitten | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Delta Wind | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucha Woman | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smoothlikebuttah | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | All Dialed In | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Premiumonsaturday | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blackjack Betty | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Race Judicata | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shanghai Sunrise | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omg It’s Jessica | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Simeon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beer Can Man | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bombard | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commander (FR) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chaos Theory | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bran (FR) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indian Peak | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barraza | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guildsman (FR) | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Countess Rosina (IRE) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dear Beau (IRE) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Glenall (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ruby Ray | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scenic Masterpiece | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Angel Nadeshiko | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Everystepoftheway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Fluent | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snark | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.