February 19, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brotherly Love | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Klimtoglory | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stotland | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La’och Aloysius | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quidproquo Joeblow | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookout Point | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baldoro | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missing Maurice | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wall Street Trader | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Besame Mucho | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frisco Gold | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kimmer | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gebo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Union | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cuban Crisis (GB) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Khlass (IRE) | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | What a Feeling | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | M Is for Magic | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vivando | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Laura Mars (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ever Smart | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Buy American | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Wendy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bright Leaf | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Art | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clampett | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Apollo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Town Boy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Con On the Run | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Bridger | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold Choice | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Funny Feline | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Increase Stakes | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Blackbird | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosie Forecast | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elegance Code | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barrister’s Ride | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circle of Stars | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Duck | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roubaix | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | State of the Union | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cee E Oh | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Bonus | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pinedale | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Rob | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Bug Z | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keyflower (FR) | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moraz | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hogans Holiday | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocking Redhead | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | New Heat | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cordiality | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold for Kitten | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sassyserb | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zeyaraat | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | California Kook | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atomic Drop | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scary Fast Smile | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pyeong Chang | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Squalotoro | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reckoning Day | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Special | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pasadena S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sumter | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doitforandrew (GB) | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crosby Beach | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Handy Dandy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barsabas | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Echosmith (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Epoch | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Optigogo | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Swear Dave | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Draw Munnings | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Road | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.