February 5, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Thunder Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ready Soul | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Count Again | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Cloud (GB) | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Subconscious | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delaware (GB) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sniper Kitten | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sharapova | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Sweep | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Del Mar Drama | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Founder’s Day | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shaaz | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Motown Music | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | California Street | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touchdown Brown | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Ball | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sumo | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Reflection | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fort Bridger | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Rhythm | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Rob | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Besame Mucho | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tap Union | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Forgotten Vows | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | State of the Union | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Event | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Bug Z | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paulas Cause | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Prince Abama (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gregory’s Pride | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Carmelita’s Man | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Adare | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Niles Channel | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Fish | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Encroachment | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cane Creek Road | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Li Mu Bai (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Santa Monica S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kalypso | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Park Avenue | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ce Ce | 0.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full of Grace | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Merneith | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vantastic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coulthard (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gregdar | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Del Oro | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whooping Jay | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Plus | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crew Dragon | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eastern Ocean | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exultation | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Guildsman (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Pasqual S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spielberg | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Rings | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Law Professor | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Express Train | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Theorem | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Like the Wind | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hail Freedom | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Special | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fly to Mars | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brix | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crash Corrigan | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Dr. Troutman | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charge Cash | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jazz Hands | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Discretionary Day | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | If Id Told You | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Tallemark | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Bang for Your Buck | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.